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Documento D.T.9906

 

There Was Monetary Autonomy In Europe On The Eve Of Emu?

The German Dominance Hypothesis Re-Examined

 

Óscar Bajo Rubio

Mª Dolores Montávez-Garcés

 

Abstract

In this paper we re-examine the German dominance hypothesis, as a way to assess whether the loss of monetary autonomy in Europe associated with EMU had been significant. We use Granger-causality tests between the interest rates of Germany and all the countries participating at any time in the European Monetary System, with the sample period running until December 1998. Our results woud support a weak version of the hypothesis, with Germany playing a certain "leadership" or special role in the EMS, although she would not had been strictly the "dominant" player.

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DEPARTAMENTO DE ECONOMÍA
Universidad Pública de Navarra - Edificio Departamental de los Madroños - 31006 Pamplona
Campus Arrosadía
Pamplona
Tel. 948169340
Fax. 948169271
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